Official Plays

Bengals -2.5
Really a situational play and a fade of the 49ers here. 1 o'clock east coast game for a bit of a soft team. Very nervous that Vernon Davis is sitting on a big one...Gore should get it going a bit more today...and if Crabtree is actually healthy he'll help. Still, it's Alex Smith on the road. 
Bills +7
The more you look at it the more you see a banged up team on the road in what will be a very hostile atmosphere. I know everyone wants to give them a pass because it's Brady and it's the Pats, but losing your center and your most unguardable weapon hurts anyone. They'll still score it but that is a lot of road chalk to swallow.
Eagles -9
The Giants simply cannot cover the Eagles. The power running game that everyone is claiming they have doesn't really quite exist. The only reason, in my opinion, that they even have a shot to cover this game is because it looks like the game might be played on a bog. Still, Eagles have a chance of winning by 20+ here easily.
Dolphins +2
The Browns simply aren't that good and while maybe I am literally a fish for backing the Dolphins on the road, I simply can't help myself here. I just love a team like the fins that are all dirtied up. Much better than their record indicates and hopefully the turmoil between the front office, coaching staff and quarterback doesn't spill over here. Which is why a road game might help.
Jets -3
The more I've thought about this I think there is literally only one concern here - can the Jets show up to play on the West Coast? If they do I could see this thing getting out of hand. The Jets defense does the one thing that Oakland's offense is completely reliant on - stopping the running back. Their athletic wideouts proved too much for the Bills corners, but the heave it deep and let them go up and grab it method simply doesn't work against the Jets d-backs. Offensively, Sanchez will have to play a solid game but he is more than capable. If the offensive line steps up its play a notch they have a chance of turning this one ugly. 
Packers -4
I just see this game as almost a carbon copy of last week when Chicago faced New Orleans. It's not that Chicago is a bad team, they just really struggle to keep up with the firepower of some of these teams. I'm seeing a Packers defense that wants to make a statement today. I know it's square and I know it's road chalk in a rivalry game that usually turns into a low-scoring slugfest, but I just think the Packers have the ability to put this one out of reach early.
***Adding***Houston +3.5
Bottom line here is that while I will regret not heeding my own advice here if they don't cover I'm just seeing value here. It seems like anyone you talk to is scared to death of Brees. I am to a degree but the value bettor in me just can't look at this game and not like it. What they are saying here is that the Saints are a tick better than the Texans. Really, I think the Texans are a better team than New Orleans, flat out. If they were home I'd line it -5.5. To be 3 point dogs would really make it a game I should play, at more than three I feel they are forcing my hand.

Not sure I will have time for explanation.